Ecological Modelling for Global Change and Coupled Human and Natural Systems
Tuesday, September 20-Friday, September 23, 2011
The 18th International Conference on Ecological Modelling will be held in Beijing, China, and jointly hosted by Beijing Normal University, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, University of Quebec at Montreal, Nanjing University, and Peking University, on September 20-23, 2011 on behalf of the International Society for Ecological Modelling (ISEM).
Abstract submission deadline is extended to June 10th, 2011.
Booking for ISEM 2011: How to register for the conference and how to pay.
Abstract Submission address: http://www.isem2011.org/ss/
Facing with the increasingly impressive global change, we design the theme of this conference as “Ecological Modelling for Global Change and Coupled Human and Natural Systems” with an objective to emphasize on modelling the potential impacts of global change on the Earth ecosystems and human adaptation to the change, as well as offer a multi-disciplinary platform for exploring the linkages between the human and natural systems. It will be a great opportunity for researchers, managers, and students from both developed and developing countries around the world to meet together, share and communicate among them, and jointly search for more effective and science-based, modelling-oriented solutions for our living environment and life-support systems.
International Scientific Advisory Committee
² Sven E. Jørgensen (ISEM president; University of Copenhagen, Denmark)
² Brian D. Fath (President, North-American Chapter; Towson University, US)
² Tarzan Legovic (ISEM Secretary-General; Center for Marine Research, Croatia)
² Guy R. Larocque (Secretary, North-American Chapter; Natural Resources Canada, Canada)
Scientific Committee Members
² David A. Mauriello (ISEM Treasurer, US)
² Cosimo Solidoro (President, European Chapter; Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale, Italy)
² Søren N. Nielsen (Secretary, European Chapter; University of Copenhagen, Denmark)
² Masahiko Sekine (President, Austral/Asian Chapter; Yamaguchi University, Japan)
² Fuliu Xu (Peking University, China)
² Felix Müller (University of Kiel, Germany)
² Simone Bastianoni (University of Siena, Italy)
² Santanu Ray (Visva-Bharati University, India)
² Tae-Soo Chon (Pusan National University, Korea)
² Donald L. DeAngelis (University of Miami, US)
² Marko Debeljak (University of Nova Gorica, Slovenia)
² Alexander Komarov (Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia)
² Marta Rodrigues (National Laboratory for Civil Engineering, Lisboa, Portugal)
² Ursula M. Scharler (University of KwaZulu Natal, Westville Campus, South Africa)
² Sergio Ulgiati (Parthenope University of Napoli, Italy)
² Daniel Campbell (EPA, US)
² Peter Goethals (Ghent University, Belgium)
² Volker Grimm (University of Potsdam, Germany)
² Alexey Voinov (University of Twente, Netherlands)
² Sovan Lek (University Paul Sabatier, France)
² Kumud Acharya (Division of Hydrologic Sciences, Desert Research Institute, US)
² Dan Johnson (University of Lethbridge, Canada)
² Young-Seuk Park (Kyung Hee University, Korea)
² Wenhua Li (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
² Hongliang Liu (Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, China)
² Jianming Jin (EPA, China)
² Yonglong Lu (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
² Yanhe Ma (Ministry of Scientific and Technology, China)
² Wei Meng (Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, China)
² Jianyu Zhang (Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, China)
² Tieheng Sun (Institute of Applied Ecology, CAS, China)
² Jiuhui Qu (Research Center for Eco-Environment Sciences, CAS, China)
² Zhifeng Yang (Beijing Normal University, China)
² Changhui Peng (University of Quebec at Montreal, Canada)
² Tianxiang Yue (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
² Hong Jiang (Nanjing University, China)
² Bin Chen (Secretary, Austral/Asian chapter; Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)
² Zemeng Fan (Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China)
² Meirong Su (Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)
² Gengyuan Liu (Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China)
Organizing Committee Members
² Bing Xu (Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tsinghua University, China)
² Chenghu Zhou (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
² Daming He (Yunnan University, China)
² Fahu Chen (Lanzhou University, China)
² Feng Ge (State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pests and Rodents, China)
² Guoqian Chen (Peking University, China)
² Hai Ren (South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
² Jianjian Lu (East China Normal University, China)
² Jianhua Xu (East China Normal University, China)
² Jun Bi (Nanjing University, China)
² Keming Ma (State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, China)
² Peng Gong (Earth System Science Center, Tsinghua University, China)
² Shaolin Peng (Sun Yat-Sen University, China)
² Shengfang Lan (South China Agriculture University, China)
² Shirong Liu (Chinese Academy of Forestry, China)
² Weiping Hu (Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, CAS, China)
² Xi Chen (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
² Xinguo Han (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
² Yongming Shen (Dalian University of Technology, China)
Abstract submission: June 10, 2011
Workshop proposal: June 15, 2011
Full paper submission: July 15, 2011
Conference date: September 20-23, 2011
Location and Venue
The conference will be held in a specific conference hotel near Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China. The hotel has conference rooms with different sizes, in which the largest lecture hall can occupy 500 persons. It also has well-equipped multimedia facilities, which can satisfy the requirements of international conferences.
Session I: Integrated Systematic Studies of Ecological Modelling
² Understanding of the Coupled Natural and Social System
² Network Modelling and Systems Theory
² Static Analysis and Dynamic Simulation of the Ecosystem
² Ecological Accounting
² The use of ecosystem theory in ecological modelling and environmental management
² Ecological Effect Analysis
Session II: Modelling for Water Environment Systems and EcoSystems Modelling
² Eco-hydrological Modelling for Water Environment
² Environmental Flow Analysis in Water Environment
² Environmental Quality Assessment for Water Environment
² Structure and Function in Stream and River Ecosystems
² Pollutants Transfer and Transform in Water Environment
² Integrated Watershed Evaluation, Planning and Optimization
Session III: Ecological Modelling for Wetland Ecosystems
² Eco-hydrological Process, Effect and Modelling for Wetland Systems
² Ecosystem Services Evaluation of Wetland Systems
² Nutrient Element’s Cycle in Wetland Systems
² Biodiversity in Wetland Systems
² Risk Assessment of Wetland Systems
² Wetland Utilization and Protection
Session IV: Ecological Modelling for Terrestrial Ecosystems
² Environmental Flow Analysis for Terrestrial Ecosystems
² Environmental Quality Assessment for Terrestrial Ecosystems
² Pollutants Transfer Mechanism in Terrestrial Ecosystems
² Carbon and Nutrient cycling in Terrestrial Ecosystems
² Risk Assessment of Terrestrial Ecosystems
Session V: Ecological Modelling for Urban and Regional Ecosystems
² Ecological Process and Dynamic Analysis for Urban Ecosystems
² Systematic Diagnostic and Regulation for Urban Ecosystems
² Urbanization and Its Effect in Developing and Developed Countries
² Landscape in Urban and Regional Ecosystems
² Spatial Planning for Urban and Regional Ecosystems
Session VI: Ecological Modelling for the Global Changes
² Ecological Modelling for Climate Change
² Ecological Modelling for the Impacts and Adaptation of Climate Change
² Ecological Modelling for Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions (CO2, CH4 and N2O)
² Ecological Modelling for Land Use Change and Earth Systems (including atmosphere, biosphere, ocean)
² Modelling Global Carbon, Nitrogen, Phosphorus, Water Cycles
² Ecological Modelling for Landscape Dynamics, Biodiversity and Conservation
² Ecological Forecasting, Model-Data Fusion, and Remote Sensing
Session VII: Sustainable Ecosystem Management: Technology and Policy
² Ecological Planning and Management Approach
² Development and Application of New Technologies in Ecosystem Management
² Management Policies and their Impact on Ecosystem Development
² Ecosystem Management Experiences in Developing and Developed Countries
Session VIII: Monitoring and Assessment in Ecosystem Management
² Long-term Monitoring and Assessment
² Integrated, Multi-taxa, Multi-scale Monitoring
² Methods for Monitoring and Assessment (Mathematical Models, Data Treatment and Patterning, Ecosystem Quality Estimation)
² Monitoring and Assessment for Application (Epidemics and Eepizootics, Agriculture, Pest Management, Fishery, Conservation, Forestry, etc)
Session IX: Elsevier Author Workshop
² Elsevier Publisher
² Editor of Ecological Modelling
Workshop I: Lake and Wetland Modelling (Chaired by Sven E. Jørgensen)
Workshop II: Earth Surface Modelling and Global Ecology (Chaired by Tian-Xiang Yue, Sven E. Jørgensen, Guy R. Larocque)
Workshop III: Ecological Network Analysis (Chaired by Brian D. Fath)
Workshop IV: Plankton Ecological Modelling (Chaired by Alessandro Ludovisi)
Workshop VI: Eco-city and Landscape Planning (Chaired by Zhifeng Yang, Bin Chen, Sergio Ulgiati)
Workshop VII: Asia Pacific Workshop: China/Indian/Indonesia/Japan/Korea/Philippine (Chaired by Masahiko Sekine, Santanu Ray, Tae-Soo Chon, Young-Seuk Park, Bin Chen)
Workshop VIII: Ecological Engineering and Self-organization (Chaired by Hai Ren）
Other proposed symposiums and workshops are welcome.
Sven E. Jørgensen (University of Copenhagen, Denmark, Associate Editor of Ecological Indicators)
Dr. Jørgensen is Professor Emeritus at the University of Copenhagen and specializes in systems ecology, ecological modelling, and ecological engineering. Dr. Jørgensen has published 70 books and more than 350 papers, most in peer-reviewed international journals He is member of the editorial board of 18 scientific journals. He has given courses all over world in system ecology and particularly in ecological modelling -totally in 32 different countries. He has served as Editor-In-Chief of EcologicalModelling: International Journal on Ecological Modelling and Systems Ecology for 34 years. He is also editor-in-chief of Encyclopedia of Ecology. He has received several prizes (The Prigogine Award, The Pascal Medal, The Einstein Professorship of Chinese Academy of Sciences, the Santa Chiara Prize) and the very prestigious Stockholm Water Prize. He is honorable doctor of Coimbra University, Portugal and Dar es Salaam University, Tanzania. He is an elected member of the European Academy of Sciences. He is president of ISEM (International Society of Ecological Modelling).
Title: The application of models and system ecology to assess whether the development is sustainable
Sven E. Jørgensen
Professor Copenhagen University, President of ISEM
Abstract: Several initiatives have been taken to assess the sustainability of a considered development. The presentation will present several methods to “test” the sustainability of different scenarios for future development. All the proposed and overviewed methods require the use of models and are drawing also on system ecology.
The proposed methods are:
1) Express the sustainability by the use of exergy and eco-exergy. A model of the energy use is needed to be able to use this method. An example from the Danish island Samsø will be shown. Some rough results from a global eco-exergy balance will also be presented.
2) The use of fossil fuel is one of the major problems associated with a sustainable development due to the enormous use of non-renewable resources and due to the consequences for the climate. It is recommended to develop a carbon model which is a very powerful tool to adjust the carbon dioxide emission. An example from a district close to Siena Italy will be used to illustrate this method
3) Assessment of the values of ecosystem services. A sustainable development will require that the values of ecosystem services are not decreasing. An example from a lake ecosystem will be used to illustrate this method. A lake model is used in this context.
Based upon the three methods and the corresponding examples, it is possible to give some first recommendation on how to ensure a sustainable development.
Brian D. Fath (Towson University, US, Editor-in-Chief of Ecological Modelling)
Brian D. Fath is a Professor in the Department of Biological Sciences at Towson University (Maryland, USA), a research scholar in the Advanced Systems Analysis Program at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Laxenburg, Austria), and Fulbright Distinguished Chair at ParthenopeUniversity of Naples for Spring 2012. He has published two books, around 100 journal articles, reports, and book chapters, and co-edited a 5-volume Encyclopedia of Ecology. Dr. Fath has been Editor-in-Chief of the journal Ecological Modelling since January 2009 and is the Deputy Director of the Low Carbon Research Institute at the Beijing Development Area. He teaches courses in Ecosystem Ecology, Environmental Biology, Networks, and Human Ecology and Sustainability at Towson and has given short courses in China, Croatia, Denmark, France, Germany, Portugal, and Russia. Dr. Fath is currently Chair of the Baltimore County Commission on Environmental Quality.
Title: How Ecological Modelling contributes to global change science
Brian D. Fath
Department of Biological Sciences, Towson University, Towson, Maryland, USA
Advanced Systems Analysis Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Abstract: Human pressures are exerting unprecedented change on global systems including biogeochemistry, energetics and climate, land surface and biodiversity. For almost four decades the journal Ecological Modelling has documented advances in process-based modelling to understand ecosystems and the changes they undergo. The ecological modelling community is a broad, international, productive, and important part of global change research. In this presentation, I will highlight some of the major contributions from modelling and encourage some directions for the future activity. Within this community, the insight by Professors Patten, Ulanowicz, Jørgensen, Odum, Tiezzi, and others recognized the importance of investigating ecosystems as complex, adaptive, far-from equilibrium systems. Ecosystems are not simply the sum of their parts, but how can we measure this complexity? Specifically, one approach is viewing ecosystems as interacting networks. Application of a network perspective to integrated socio-ecological systems is revealing insights on their structure and function and providing guidance on how to manage them. A plurality of modelling and analysis methods, including those waiting to be developed, is needed to contribute to global change science as we strive to transition to sustainable practices.
Guy R. Larocque (Natural Resources Canada, Canada)
Guy R. Larocque is a Research Scientist at Natural Resources Canada in Quebec, Canada. He previously worked at the Petawawa National Forestry Institute in Ontario. Dr. Larocque received his Ph.D. in forest science from the University of British Columbia. He has published journal articles, reports and book chapters in forest productivity and succession, carbon cycle in forest ecosystems and forest ecosystem models and has been active in the organization of five ISEM conferences. Dr. Larocque currently serves in two committees of the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada for the evaluation of research grant applications.
Title: Ecological modelling in the 21st century: examining potential research directions and challenges
Guy R. Larocque
Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Laurentian Forestry Centre, 1055 du PE.P.S., P.O. Box 10380, Stn. Sainte-Foy, Quebec, QC, G1V 4C7, Canada
Abstract: Ecological modelling can be considered as a significant research activity in the majority of scientific disciplines related to natural resources. Models have been developed for nearly all types of both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems and for several animal populations. As many models are available, it is tempting to believe that there is no more significant challenge to be met in ecological modelling. Despite all the recent achievements, there are still important challenges that require basic research work. For the majority of ecosystems, many processes remain poorly understood, which is a major constraint for the derivation of adequate mathematical representations to conduct realistic simulations. Dealing with complexity remains a controversial topic that triggers new challenges. While some modellers believe that ecological models must be as simple as possible, others argue that complex models are essential to represent the complexity of nonlinear interactions. One of the greatest challenges in the 21st century will be to deal with global change issues. In particular, both temperature and CO2 increases will have interactive effects that scientists are just beginning to understand. Thus, modellers will have to think differently. Another challenge will consist in developing multidisciplinary models. For instance, major progress can be made by extending the concept of ecosystem to include different vegetation types, animal populations or water resources to model the flows of energy, carbon, water or nutrients through a landscape.
Alessandro Ludovisi (University of Perugia, Italy)
After having attained the M.S. in Chemistry (1992) and the PhD in Chemical Sciences (1998), my research activity has been focused on several aspects related to the complexity, functioning and development of ecosystems, with particular reference to lakes. The main focuses have been:
- Environmental modelling in the field of population dynamics, hydrological and thermodynamic balances of lake systems;
- Use and development of thermodynamic indices for the analysis of the ecological succession in aquatic communities and as indicators of trophic conditions;
- Study of habitat selection by vegetal (phytoplankton, macrophytes) and animal organisms (zooplankton, bryozoans);
- Use and development of geostatistical procedures for the study of distribution patterns of plankton organisms;
- Use and development of biodiversity measures;
- Analysis of hazardous substances (chlorinated pesticides, PAH, heavy metals) in waters and sediments, and metabolic responses to water pollutants;
- Evaluation of the impact of environmental and climate changes on lake communities.
Most of my work relates to basic issues, but I find great pleasure in working on more applied issues and I had the occasion to participate in several projects focused on lake recovery and management. I do believe that it is helpful to try to understand what has happened in the past, in preparing for what might happen in the future, e.g., ecological effects of climate change. For this reason, I value the existence of long-term time series and the analysis of them.
I am an author in numerous articles published in International journals and other publications of a National or local diffusion, member of the Editorial board of the African Journal of Agricultural Research and referee for several International journals: BioSystems, Geophysical Research Letters, Ecological Modelling, Ecological Indicators, Environmental Engineering Science, Aquatic Ecology, Ecological Economics.
I participate, as a member, in the activities of the Italian Society of Ecology (SItE) at the European Society of Ecological Modelling (ECEM) and the International Society of Ecological Modelling(ISEM).
I participated, as a contract researcher, in several scientific project of a European, National and local relevance focused on emergent issues in inland water research and management.
Since 1999, I have been teacher of Ecology in the Bachelor of Science in Biology, Natural Sciences and Technical Management of Landscape at the University of Perugia.
Larry Li (University of California Riverside, US, Editor-in-Chief of Ecological Complexity)
William J. Manning (University of Massachusetts, US, Editor-in-Chief of Environmental Pollution)
International Society for Ecological Modelling;
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China;
Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;
University of Quebec at Montreal, Montreal, Canada;
Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Peking University, China
The Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China;
The Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China;
Natural Science Foundation of China;
Chinese National Science Foundation (CNSF)
Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST)
Central-South University of Forestry and Technology (CSUFT)
Chinese Ecosystem Research Network (CERN)
Chinese Ecology Society (CES)
Chinese Ecology Association Overseas (SINO-ECO)
Chinese Society for Environmental Sciences (CSES)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS)
Local software companies
Excursion Plan after the Conference
Beijing is one of the four great ancient capitals of China with a history of more than 3000 years. It is China’s second largest city, with more than 17 million people. Beijing is recognized as the political, educational, and cultural center of China. It is described as “one of the world’s great cities” and declares that the city has been an integral part of China’s history for centuries. This city is renowned for its opulent palaces, temples, and huge stone walls and gates. Nowadays, Beijing has developed into an international modern city and hosted the 2008 Olympic Games successfully. The National Grand Theater, the 3rd Terminal Building of Beijing International Airport, “Bird Nest” National Stadium and “Water Cube” National Swimming Center are modern signatures of this developing city. Furthermore, many of the best universities of China are located in Beijing, such as Peking University, Tsinghua University and Beijing Normal University.
We have arranged three half-day bus tours at the last day of the conference after all technical programs.
The excursion will lead us to some famous cultural sites of Beijing, where we will be able to visit the Forbidden City, Summer Palace and Temple ofHeaven.
The excursion will lead us to some historical sites and Olympic facilities of Beijing, where we will be able to visit the Great Wall, Bird Nest and Water Cube.
We also arrange an excursion to Xiedao, an eco-farm, which located in the northeastern suburb of Beijing. Xiedao (Crab Island) covers an area of 40 hectares, and is named by the State Environmental Protection Administration and the China Society of Environmental Science as an example site of ecological agriculture.
² Registration Fee:
Normal participants: 500 USD /3000 RMB
ISEM members: 480 USD/2900 RMB
Students: 300 USD /2000 RMB
100 USD/600 RMB
² Paper/Abstract Submission
² Ways to Register
Download Registration Form PDF
Send the filled form as attachment to ISEM2011@gmail.com.
² Payment Options
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² Confirmation and Receipt
An email confirmation of your conference registration will be sent to those who have successfully registered. The receipt will be mailed to you as soon as the fee is charged. Receipts will be available on-site for payments received after July 1, 2011.